4274 Newey Guest36253 (IP: 69.141.76.197)^2483 Re: Most Critical Stats for Building a Winning Team [Reply to #4284] 2/23/07, 6:38am Newey, you are once again making my point for me. You say, of course teams should be looking for below average ERA pitchers, but then go on to try and justify pitchers with above average LERA's being paid high salaries. Just because many teams make dumb decisions, and give pitchers with over LERA's big money, does not justify the practice. Which is my point exactly! If teams looked at just ERA, or percentage of LERA, and stocked their team with pitchers who pitch to below the LERA, they can improve their winning percentage. It's simple, but you keep trying to make it complicated, when you try to justify pitchers with above LERA's being paid big money (my guess is you've written elsewhere saying the contracts were reasonable, and feel you have to keep justifying that point of view). I never said it would be easy, all I said was that is how teams can improve their winning percentage. Billy Beane wins because he keeps it relatively simple. Paul Depodesta lost because he tried to do what your doing, come up with magic formulas, which only confuse and complicate what needs to be done. Gil Meche will be paid $11 Million this year (average) and has pitched to 105% of the LERA in his career, and 103% in his contract year, last year. Mike Mussina will be paid $11.5 Million this year (average) and has pitched to 80% ot the LERA in his career, and 80% last year. One of those salaries is wildly out of whack, and in my opinion, just in terms of winning ballgames, it's Meche's. I don't think you'll ever really understand what I originally wrote. [Guest36253 (IP: 69.141.76.197) from Unknown/??] Replies: