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Rob Reed^3583
Re: The acquisition of Adam Dunn has Nick Johnson worried about less playing time... <FONT COLOR=BLACK><b>[</font>Reply to #<a href="read.pl?1-6042">6042</a>]</b>
2/13/09, 8:42am
>Good move for the Nats I think. But isn't the Nats new
>ballpark more of a pitcher's park. If so, I say Dunn's fantasy
>value takes a hit. For one, he has always been an all or
>nothing player. He has never hit for a good average. Yes, the
>home run power is there, but he strikes out a ton. Looking
>like another 240 to 250 type of year, maybe 40 plus home runs.
>I predict he won't hit more than 40 HRs & he'll hit between
>240 & 250, 255 maybe for batting average.

My initial reaction was exactly the same, but I remember when the new ballpark opened, and I was downplaying Alfonso Soriano as a result.

So, Alfonso promptly comes out and hits career high 46 HRs.

On this basis, I think we can expect more of the same from Dunn... 40 HRs.  And, I'm willing to pay for that, so long as I have average taken care of elsewhere.

[Rob Reed from Sylmar/CA]
Replies:  <a href="read.pl?1-6046">6046</a>