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Message #371 of 405  *NEW*
To:  Rob
From:  
mattkhoo7620  
Subject:  Nich Swisher
Date:  5/18/08, 10:28am
How much longer do you think it is worth holding on to Nick Swisher... I got him for $21 in a auction keeper league and he's really done nothing... I love his potential, but I'm thinkin its time to drop him. What you think? Jose Guillen is available who's heatin up so is Andrew Jones who burned me last year

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Message #375 of 405  *NEW*
To:  mattkhoo7620
From:  
Rob Reed  
Subject:  Re: Nich Swisher
Date:  5/21/08, 5:36pm
graphic
>How much longer do you think it is worth holding on to Nick
>Swisher... I got him for $21 in a auction keeper league and
>he's really done nothing... I love his potential, but I'm
>thinkin its time to drop him. What you think? Jose Guillen is
>available who's heatin up so is Andrew Jones who burned me
>last year

His HR drop last year is very relevant. 22 HRs, which I think was a 13 or so HR drop from the previous year (and with more ABs last year, if memory serves -- check on that, I could be wrong).

His average will improve from here on out so that he ends up at .250, so that probably means he hits .280-.285 the rest of the way (I think, based on the "regression to the mean, or shall we say progression to the mean" concept). And, he'll probably hit 20-25 HRs again.

If that is valuable to you, keep him.

I have just been offered him in a big trade (that involves me giving up Fielder) and I just might take it.

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